Last April, we wrote an article entitled “Why the Fed May Be Forced to Raise rates, Not Lower Them”. At first glance, our conclusion might appear off the mark. After all, the central bank has since lowered rates three times, to the tune of 100 basis points, justifying the move on expectations of a moderating CPI (unless otherwise stated, CPI refers to the year over year change in the Consumer Price Index). For its part though, the bond market is…
InterMarket Review Indicators –
Unique indicators used in the InterMarket Review (IMR)
- Bond Barometer
- Financial Velocity versus Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
- Government/Baa Credit Spread and its Effect on Bond Yields
- Inflation (Commodity) Barometer
- Intermediate Food Model
- KST System
- Pring Turner Leading Economic Indicator (PTLEI)
- Seasonal Breadth Summer Momentum
- Seasonal Breadth Winter Momentum
- Special K
- Stock Barometer
- Stock Prices versus the Inverted Dividend Yield
- Stocks versus Bank Credit, a Secular and Cyclical Indicator
- Total Return Model
- Unstable Commodity Model
Psychology and Trading –
Calling Market Turns (* pdf Format) –
- A Turn of the Tide? * (July 7, 2006)
- A Turn in the Tide: The Case for Rising Interest Rates * (October 14, 2016)
- Bond Reversal 2013 – It’s the Bond Vigilantes, Stupid! * (January 9, 2013)
- Five Charts that Make the Case for a Bull Market in Commodities
- Inflation Adjusted Gold Price Challenges 1980s All-time High (June 1, 2021)
- Return of the Bear * (June 17, 2006)
- Whither the Secular Trend of Equities? * (April 2003)
- Timing the End of the Tech and Bitcoin Bubbles (March 13, 2021)